There is an ongoing debate about the role of exchange rates in facilitating external adjustment. This paper explores how certain aspects of international trade, namely dominant currency pricing and international integration through global value chains,shape the working of exchange rates to induce external adjustment. The analysis suggests that the widespread use of the US dollar in trade pricing alters the short-term response of trade flows to exchange rate movements, with export volumes responding timidly to an exchange rate depreciation, while most of the adjustment takes place through import volumes. A more balanced adjustment process, through both export and import volumes,reemerges over the medium term. Meanwhile, greater integration into global value chains reduces the exchange rate elasticity of gross trade volumes, both in the short and medium term, but the associated increase in gross trade flows largely offsets this effect in most cases. Overall, the results suggest that while these features of international trade affect the composition and timing of the external adjustment process, for most countries, there remain benefits of exchange rate flexibility, especially in the medium term. With more muted effects of exchange rates on trade flows in the short term, complementary policies may be needed in some cases to support exchange rate flexibility and facilitate external rebalancing. This paper tries to study the recent external trends in Indian external sector giving a detailed information of the dynamics of external adjustment with respective to the global scenario.
Key Words: External Sector, External Adjustment, Currency of Trade Invoicing, Global Value Chains.
JEL: F30, F31, F32
COVID-19 has resulted in a widespread lockdown of several economic activities, including the education sector. Universities across the country are shut due to the pandemic. In this paper, we conduct a primary survey to gain insights into teachers’ sentiments and examination controllers in the Maharashtra state. We aim to look at the constraints faced by the stakeholders concerning the conduct of examinations during the pandemic. Results show that statistical significance exists between the ability to conduct online examinations and prior training and experimentation using online modes. We observe the importance of capacity building and infrastructure through this. However, the overall sentiments towards learning during a pandemic are affected by issues relating to social and psychological factors that stakeholders cannot ignore.
Despite that land is an important factor of production and an asset to both firms and households, its contribution to poverty reduction in LDCs is still controversial.One factor that significantly influence the value of land is marketability and land use alternatives which is still limited in developing countries like Tanzania. This study aim sat empirically analyzing how land is important for poverty reduction by investigating the effect of land entitlement and access to the household consumption. Specifically, the study employs Tobit regression model to examine the relationship between land ownership and household consumption. Moreover, the study employs logit model to analyze the probability of the household being non-poor given land ownership and/or access status.In this case households are grouped as poor if their per capital weekly food consumption islower than a given threshold value according to the national official level of consumption that is required to meet a given level of calories per adult. The study used national panel survey data wave 4 (2014/2015) which is nationally representative to examine the relationship between land ownership and poverty reduction in Tanzania. The results show that owning land does not necessarily improves household level of consumption since the size of land owned by the household does not significantly affect the level of per capital household consumption. Specifically, compared to households with no land,households with land had lower per capital consumption. On contrary having a land entitlement certificate significantly improves household per capital consumption. The study found that among those households owning land, household with land ownership certificate have significantly higher per capital consumption compared to those with no land certificate.The findings imply that land tenure policy in developing countries and particularly Tanzania should therefore focus on improving legal land ownership among households for welfare and economic improvement.
Key words: Household Consumption; Household Welfare; Land Tenure, Poverty, Tobit Regression.
JEL Classification: I31, I32, P46, Q15, R14.
Indian economy has been driven by agriculture since time immemorial. It currently employs more than 50% of its total workforce in agriculture while contributing around 17-18% in the country’s gross domestic product. Even though the trend percentage of workforce is declining at present, agriculture will undoubtedly remain the economy backbone for a long time to come. As such, it becomes necessary to support and strengthen the backbone, and evade contingencies of climate change and land-use change, so that an increased horticultural productivity is sustained with no excess pressure on the environment. National Mission for Sustainable Agriculture (NMSA) was introduced to propagate the idea of sustainable agricultural practices in traditional farming. In this context, North-East India has immense potential but has been sitting on the back burner for a number of causes. The present paper envisages to discuss the status of NMSA interns of its implementation with respect to its objectives of horticultural insurance and credit support vis-a-vis the eight North-Eastern states. Observations indicate a number of shortfalls in insurance coverage for farmers and lack of credit support, which if addressed could absolutely bring a radical change in the region’s agricultural scenario.
Keywords: Horticulture, National Mission for Sustainable Agriculture, Crop Insurance,Credit.
The study pertains to the marketing of jaggery in Sitapur district. The mainobjective of the study is to analyze, socio-economic characteristics of sample respondents to study the disposal pattern, marketing cost, margin, and price spread of jaggery perquintal in different channels of marketing and constraints in production and marketing of jaggery. The results reveal that the socio-economic status of the respondents found to be moderate with primary education, a well economic background, and greater access to all the assets. Economics of jaggery marketing is more profitable in large farms as compared to medium-size farms and small size farms. The maximum producers share in consumer price in channel-I was 92.33 percent. The average producer sale price to the consumer was Rs.3000.00/qtl and the price spread was Rs.230.00/qtl. The sample average for marketing efficiency in channels was 13.04, percent respectively.
The study indicated that there is scope to increase the producer’s share in consumers rupee by making the market more effective so that the number of intermediaries is to be restricted and marketing costs and marketing margins to be reduced. Major constraint sin production were found that high cost of labour and less awareness about new technologies among different farms size group followed by a huge price fluctuation was the major marketing constraint in jaggery.
Keywords: Cost, Return, Marketing Channels, Constraints.
Finally, within the value chain analysis, a topic that cannot be avoided is how much value is created, and how it is distributed. This is a more accounting point of view,and we called it a price assessment approach. Particularly for the context of agribusiness chains, the question of how much value every actor creates, and what sort of it receives is on the regular discussion.Since the main characteristic of agri-food chains is the different farm and at farm gate market structures, where primary stages show aspects of competition while industry and distribution tend to show degrees of market power, this conducts frequent conflicts between actors. Being able to develop indicators in this regard, helps to better understand and tackle those conflicts. Where development organizations have been playing a central role enriching the body of point of view. Mainly with intervention objectives and with the aim of giving their technicians a tool to work with value chain actors, there has been a proliferation of manuals and guidelines. This is important particularly to the agri-food sector, as developing countries enter into food global value chains as primary producers, in most cases with scarce or none value-added, and showing poor conditions for the actors involved.Having obtained these tools, approaches, and point of views that operate as methodological frameworks for the analysis of agribusiness value chains, and with a better understanding of the multidimensional aspects of the concept,further analysis should be oriented to develop mathematical framework models and objective indicators to measure competitiveness and performance in agribusiness value chains. Where the aim of this research is to compare three methods to trace competitiveness and performance in agribusiness value chains: Agribusiness value chains assessment (AVCA),environmental agribusiness value chains assessment (EAVCA), and environmentally extended input-output agribusiness analysis (EE-IOAA).
Keywords: Agribusiness value chains assessment (AVCA), environmental agribusiness value chains assessment (EAVCA) and environmentally extended input–output agribusiness analysis (EE-IOAA).
The Corona Virus (COVID-19) outbreak has already brought human suffering and major economic disturbance. While the world economy was predicted to grow by3.3% in 2020, after having experienced a 2.9% growing in 2019, the irruption of theCOVID-19 has distressed the world and imposed an epoch-making shock on the fragile condition of the world economy. In order to better understand expected economic outcomes,this paper investigate different Macroeconomic scenarios of how Corona Virus might evolve in the coming year using a molding technique formulated by McKibbin and Lee(2003) and prolonged by Sidorenko and McKibbin (2006). It analyze the impacts of various scenarios on macroeconomic outcomes and financial markets in a worldwide hybrid DSGE/CGE general equilibrium theory. The study concludes the possible costs that can be prevent through global cooperative investment on public health in improving the quality of life and as a operator of economic growth.
Keywords: COVID-19, Macroeconomics, DSGE, Global Economy.
JEL Codes: E02, E6, D5, F62.
The paper estimates sources output and productivity growth of the 2-digit manufacturing industries as well as total manufacturing industry in Gujarat during the period from 1981-82 to 2010-11. The sources of output growth are input growth effect and total factor productivity growth (TFPG) and again TFPG is composed of adjusted scale effect (ASC), technological progress (TP) and technical efficiency change (TEC). Astochastic frontier model with a trans log production function is used to estimate the growth attributes of output and productivity of the 2-digit manufacturing industries as well as total manufacturing industry in Gujarat during the entire study period (1981-82 to 2010-11), pre-and post-reform period (1981-82 to 1990-91 and 1991-92 to 2010-11) and also during two decades of the post-reform period (1991-92 to 2000-01 and 2001-02 to 2110-11). The empirical finding clears that input growth effect is the major contributor to output growth in Gujarat manufacturing and total factor productivity growth (TFPG)has also a positive and significant contribution on output growth of the same. Further,technological progress (TP) is found to be as the major contributor to TFPG but it fails to offset the strong negative scale effects (ASC) and as a result TFPG in the 2-digit manufacturing industries of the state declined during the post-reform period. The impact of technical inefficiency effect, however, remain absent as statistical test suggests. The relevant policy implication for the development of the organized manufacturing industries in Gujarat is the need to improve scale components of the 2-digit manufacturing industries of the state during the forth-coming years.
Key Words: Organized Manufacturing Industries in Gujarat, Stochastic Frontier Production Function, Total Factor Productivity Growth, Technological Progress, Technical Efficiency change and Adjusted Scale Effect.
JEL CODES: C23, D24, L6, O47
The objective of the study is to identify the role of various firm specific variable son the innovation of SMEs operating in India. Indian Small and Medium-scale Enterprises(SMEs) are considered as the backbone our nation due to their multifaceted contribution towards the industrial growth, GDP, economic growth and employment generation.Though SMEs have vital role, such firms are facing severe completion from the larger firms both nationally and internationally. Innovation has become one of the best ways to solve the major challenges facing SMEs. This paper aims to find the various factors determining the types of innovation of the manufacturing SMEs operating in India. The result found that firm characteristics variables coincide with different types of institutionalisation in Indian manufacturing SMEs. The knowledge and skills acquired by entrepreneurs and workers through education and training programs help them to introduce various innovative outputs. The study also found that Medium-sized firms tend more towards innovation than Small-sized firms and the incubator SMEs are more involved in innovation-oriented activities than the established SMEs.
Keywords: firm specific variables, Small and Medium scale Enterprises, product innovation, Process innovation, Marketing innovation and Organizational innovation.