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Journal of Risk and Financial Studies

Journal of Risk and Financial Studies

Frequency :Bi-Annual

ISSN :2582-7413

Peer Reviewed Journal

Table of Content :-Journal of Risk and Financial Studies, Vol:1, Issue:2, Year:2020

Financial Literacy and Participation in the Financial Markets in Tanzania:An Application of Logit Regression Model

BY :   Manamba Epaphra and Brenda Peter Kiwia
Journal of Risk and Financial Studies, Year: 2020,  Vol.1 (2),  PP.127-154


his paper hypothesizes that financial literacy and awareness have a major impact on individuals’ participation in the financial markets. The paper empirically examines the factors determining the participation of individuals in the financial markets using qualitative data collected through questionnaire covering a sample of 484. Categorical data were collected from individuals residing in Arusha, Tanzania. The paper applies logistic regression model and maximum likelihood technique of estimation to analyse the variables that influence the participation of the financial markets. Findings show that there is a positive and statistically significant relationship between financial literacy,awareness and people’s participation in the financial markets. The implication here is that people with financial knowledge have a better chance of investing in financial market despite their education level. Indeed surprisingly, results reveal that the level of education has no effect on the participation of the financial markets. Moreover, other variables such as gender, marital status, risk attitude and level of income play a significant role in influencing individuals’ participation in the financial markets. It is revealed that the male and married individuals are more likely to invest in the financial markets. The policy implication of these results is that increasing training, awareness of the benefits, and operations of the financial markets, will result in people opting to participate in the financial participation which will, in turn, lead to increased trading of financial assets and hence create a ripple effect to the country’s economy.

Keywords: Financial Literacy, Financial Markets, Logit Modeling

JEL Classification: C35, D81, G10.


Macroeconomic Factors, Banking Variables and Banking Crisis in Developing Countries

BY :   Aram Sepehrivand
Journal of Risk and Financial Studies, Year: 2020,  Vol.1 (2),  PP.155-170


Occurrence of industrial revolution in the late of eighteenth century and early of nineteenth century is beginning of capitalist economic system. Since that time on, this system passed numerous financial, economic and banking crises. Theoretically, there are many reasons to confirm that financial, economic and banking crises are natural phenomena in capitalist  economic system.  On the other hands, occurrence of  many serious  crises during these two current centuries can confirm the hypothesis in above in terms of evidences and  statistical evaluations.  However, it can be concluded that financial, economic and banking crises are basically concerning and they need to investigate and analyze suitable policies to prevent and manage crises.

The main objective of this study is to determine effective factors on banking crises during the period of 2001 to 2017 for 35 developing countries with normal income. Therefore,data are panel data type and the estimation method is in the field of Logit method.

The results show that economic growth variable has negative and significant effect on the possibility of being bank in the crisis for one year or more than two years. Inflation variable has also positive and significant effect on crisis occurrence for one year or more than two years. Depreciation variable does not have significant effect on financial crisis occurrence.Open degree variable has  positive and  significant effect  on crisis occurrence. Also, the results show that liquidity variable has negative and significant effect on crisis occurrence for one year; however, it does not have significant effect for more than one year. Leverage ratio variable has negative and significant effect on crisis occurrence for one year or more.The ratio of credit to economic growth has positive and significant effect on crisis occurrence in one year time only. The ratio money saving variable (the ratio of money capacity tosaves) has negative and significant effect on crisis occurrence for one year time. However,it has positive and significant effect for more than one year time.

Finally, the fact that financial crisis patterns are useful tools for policy making, but should not replace financial legislators? judgement. It is clear that even at the international levels,financial crisis patterns are only used as a troubleshooting tool for economy. As a result,updating such patterns for monitoring macroeconomic performance and troubleshooting-policies in community  macroeconomic management can be useful. These models can be used for the causes of financial crisis formation in the country.

Key words: Banking Crisis, Macro economic Variables, multiple Longit model, Developing Countries

JEL: G01, G21, E58, F45, J11.


An Introduction to Loss Reserving:Concepts, Origins and Development of the Models

BY :   Stefano Cavastracci
Journal of Risk and Financial Studies, Year: 2020,  Vol.1 (2),  PP.171-195


Loss reserving is  a fundamental topic for  a non-­life insurance company. It includes several activities from claims management to set  actuarial models. Differently from the past when it was a heuristic ancillary part of risk theory and non-­life insurance mathematic today has become a great actuarial research field. From nineties every year a lot of paper are published in actuarial journals. This work is originated from the experience of an introductory university lecture kept many times from the author. Some examples a retaken from Italian regulation.

Keywords: Loss  reserving; Technical  provisions;  Claims  handlers; Stochastic models;Solvency II.

JEL Classification Numbers: C13, G22, M40.


The Effect of Crude Oil Price on Economic Growth in India: A VAR Estimation of the Oil Price Volatility and Macroeconomic Performance

BY :   T. Lakshmanasamy
Journal of Risk and Financial Studies, Year: 2020,  Vol.1 (2),  PP.209-227


Global as well as national economic growth crucially depends on crude oil and its price volatility invariably has macroeconomic repercussions including stock markets,inflation, interest rate and exchange rate. This paper analyses the effect of global crude oil price on Indian economy in an endogenous framework for 35  long years from 1981  to2015. The causal long­run relationship between crude oil price and gross domestic product,gross capital formation and real effective exchange rate applying the vector auto regression estimation method. The time series diagnostic tests show no stable lon g­run relationships and no co integration between the variables. The VAR estimates reveal that no significant effect of crude oil price on macroeconomic variables in India. Rather the crude oil price issignificantly related with the lags of the macroeconomic variables. A significant proportion of variations in crude oil price is due to the shock in gross capital formation, besides it sown shock. The crude oil price shock affects the Indian economy mostly in the initial few periods and the crude oil price volatility effect eventually becomes zero over time.

Keywords: Oil price, volatility, macroeconomic performance, VAR estimation.


Financial Risk Exposure of Publicly Traded Manufacturing Companies: Bangladesh Perspective

BY :   Ripon Kumar Dey and Syed Zabid Hossain
Journal of Risk and Financial Studies, Year: 2020,  Vol.1 (2),  PP.229-264


We explored corporate financial risks associated with firm financing decisions,which  are the most  important  determinants of firm condition. We applied an integrated approach  combining  financial  tools,  statistical  tools,  and  Altman  Z­score  to  measure different  elements  of  financial  risk  of  the  Dhaka Stock  Exchange  (DSE) listed  publicly traded manufacturing companies from 2001 to 2017. This approach is unique and hardly find  in  related  literature.  The  findings  showed that  the  financial  risk  exposure  of  the sample companies  was at  a  tolerable  level with  a few  exceptions. More  revealing is  that some companies had enough scope for taking the advantages of financial leverage by adding more debt in their capital structure. We have also studied the financial health and insolvency risk of the sample companies using Z­score and found that 9 out of 48 sample companies had potential risks of financial distress. These findings are useful for corporate stakeholders to  make informed  decisions.  However,  we  have used  ratio  analysis as  a  financial tool  to assess the financial risk exposure and  presented the  results sector ­wise  to overcome some of its limitations. But, the z­score analysis does not incorporate pre-­bankruptcy non financial events that may result in bankruptcy.


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